Every
individual is entitled to its own opinion. Like Sir. Griffiths, base on his study he believes that
there is no hope in doing a perfect research. Whether to agree or to disagree
with his statement I need to elaborate further my opinion, why indirectly
believed that research is not absolutely perfect and in relative sense believe
that research is perfect.
Let
me start in telling something about my life during my collage days. At one school
session our instructor asks me and each of his students why we took our
respective course. And for my part I told them that I took Bachelors degree in
Applied Statistics enable to help other people in their research projects by
using statistics. And the basis for my answer is that I believe that
statistical analysis is one of the fundamentals in doing research. And as my
schooling progress I learned that Statistical Analysis in any research projects
is all done by estimates. And estimates are not absolute meaning there is still
a margin of error cause by human or any unavoidable circumstances. Thus from this assumptions of one of the fundamental
part of research then I can conclude that research is not absolutely perfect.
And
to elaborate further that research is not perfect let me explain some researches
I conducted with my fellow colleagues did several years ago. The first example of
my research is to forecast the prices of
some highland vegetables (Munoz 2003.). The data I’ve collected are the
prices of these vegetables ten years ago; enable to determine the trend,
seasonality and time series analysis. And most of all to determine the forecast
price five years ahead from the time the study was conducted. Upon completing
the research I believe that it is perfect since I got good rapports from the research
panels and most of all I discover the trend and forecast value of these
highland vegetables which give me a self fulfillment and satisfaction. And from the popular definition of research as
a systematic investigation, and experimentation aimed to established facts and
new discoveries, I believed that I’ve done a perfect one, believing that the
results would come true. However as years past and the looking on the inflation
and deflation rate of this vegetables, the trend that is being forecast for
some reasons didn’t collaborate from what I expected. One reason may be the
changes of the economic status of the locality like importation of vegetable
from other country. Since the importation
of this vegetables are not done during
the time frame of study and the time the data were collected, the prices of the
vegetables are expectedly have lower value. This changes the trend, and forecast
price value of vegetables in which didn’t correlate from the research I’ve conducted.
Other
study to prove that there is no hope of doing perfect research is on determining
the crime hotspots in certain city done by my school mate Mr. Paculan. The studies
suggest that by using hierarchical
cluster analysis and spatial analysis then the crime hotspots can be spotted.(Paculan
2009) And from the study, a certain part of the city
are considered crime hotspots especially the part were liquor bars and parks
are being establish during the night. However due to fast development, rapid
growth of establishments and parks, and the growth of crime rates the presumed hotspots may not be same but additional hotspots can be involve. Thus
from this research the results could vary from time to time to make the study
imperfect since continuous process of research is needed.
In
conclusion base from my experience and researches, we could say that the
researches for some point is complete since all the methods are religiously
followed and satisfaction, commendation and excitement are being experience
knowing that the research study is highly satisfactory. However researches
cannot be perfect in absolute sense since changes and unforeseen occurrences
can happen anytime and this could lessen the reliability and efficacy. What is
true in a certain time could not be absolutely true for some other time. And statistically
all are estimates from sample data collection, to the inferential statistics
and till finishing the discussion; we are bound to margin of errors. And errors
are part of researches which will make it imperfect which is also bound for
readjustments, continuous process, and improvement enable to adapt to the
changes that happening in our fast developing and changing environment. Thus in
general I also believe with Griffith’s
statement that “There is no hope of doing
perfect research” (Griffiths, 1998, p97).
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